ATP tennis predict — Mika Brunold vs Matthew William Donald

Challenger Clay Tulln challenger · qualification - round of 16 10:00

Predicted probability

Mika Brunold

Switzerland

60.55%

Matthew William Donald

Czech Republic

39.45%

Average Odds

1.48 / 2.51

Market probability

62.91% / 37.09%

Why This Prediction?

Mika Brunold is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1642 vs 1568), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1619 vs 1568) and better recent form (2 wins in his last 15 matches vs 0).

Player Comparison

1641.8 Elo 1568.3

1619.4 Elo (surface) 1568.4

66 Wins (Challenger) 14

39 Wins (surface) 11

10 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.949 Dominance ratio 0.807

410 Rank 443

21.9 Age 21.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Mika Brunold

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 16W–3L · 84.2%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Matthew William Donald

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mika Brunold Matthew William Donald

1st Serve In %

62.3%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

63.3%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.0%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.3%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

38.8%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.33

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

67.7%

61.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.6%

64.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.1%

49.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.6%

28.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.9%

48.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.17

0.22

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.37

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mika Brunold Matthew William Donald

Break Points Saved %

60.7%

—

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.6%

53.4%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

41.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Mika Brunold 0 – 0 Matthew William Donald

Clay Tulln challenger · 2026-09-07

qualification - round of 16

Mika Brunold #410

Matthew William Donald #443

7-5 6-4

1 Aces 1

3 Double Faults 1

65 Service Points 64

41 First Serve In 47

29 First Serve Won 28

12 Second Serve Won 7

4 Break Points Saved 4

6 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.5

Mika Brunold vs Matthew William Donald — Prediction