ATP tennis predict — Mika Brunold vs Mathys Domenc

Challenger Hard Roanne challenger · 1. round 10:00

Predicted probability

Mika Brunold

Switzerland

82.95%

Mathys Domenc

France

17.05%

Average Odds

1.12 / 5.31

Market probability

82.58% / 17.42%

Why This Prediction?

Mika Brunold is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1778 vs 1504), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1690 vs 1507) and more career match wins (74 vs 1).

Player Comparison

1777.7 Elo 1504.3

1690.2 Elo (surface) 1507.3

74 Wins (Challenger) 1

27 Wins (surface) 1

12 Last 15 form 1

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.015 Dominance ratio 1.015

261 Rank 1091

22.0 Age 17.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Mika Brunold

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 16W–3L · 84.2%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Mathys Domenc

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-09-21.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mika Brunold Mathys Domenc

1st Serve In %

62.3%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

63.3%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.0%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.3%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

38.8%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.33

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

67.7%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

63.6%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.1%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.6%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.9%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.17

0.12

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mika Brunold Mathys Domenc

Break Points Saved %

60.7%

—

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.6%

46.2%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

35.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Mika Brunold and Mathys Domenc have never played each other.

Mika Brunold vs Mathys Domenc — Prediction