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Mika Brunold vs Massimo Giunta — Prediction

Challenger Clay Biella challenger · 1. round 14:30

Predicted probability

Mika Brunold

Switzerland

77.45%

Massimo Giunta

Italy

22.55%

Average Odds

1.36  /  2.94

Market probability

68.37%  /  31.63%

Why This Prediction?

Mika Brunold is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1795 vs 1507), a higher Elo rating (1787 vs 1561) and a stronger return game (38.1% vs 36.3% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1787.0 Elo 1560.9
1795.0 Elo (surface) 1506.8
72 Wins (Challenger) 16
45 Wins (surface) 6
12 Last 15 form 7
1 Head-to-head wins 0
1.015 Dominance ratio 1.252
257 Rank 386
22.0 Age 22.2
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Mika Brunold

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 16W–3L · 84.2%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Massimo Giunta

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mika Brunold Massimo Giunta

1st Serve In %

62.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

38.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

67.7%
62.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.6%
75.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.1%
57.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.6%
25.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.9%
46.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.17
0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22
0.24

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mika Brunold Massimo Giunta

Break Points Saved %

60.7%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.6%
73.8%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%
52.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Mika Brunold 10 Massimo Giunta

Clay Biella challenger · 2026-09-15
6-3 1-6 7-5
3 Aces 1
3 Double Faults 5
- Service Points -
- First Serve In -
25 First Serve Won 41
20 Second Serve Won 11
0 Break Points Saved 7
6 Break Points Faced 13
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.4 Average Odds 2.9
Clay Vicenza challenger · 2026-05-26
7-6 7-6
1 Aces 6
2 Double Faults 2
87 Service Points 93
58 First Serve In 56
43 First Serve Won 43
22 Second Serve Won 21
3 Break Points Saved 4
4 Break Points Faced 5
28 Winners 27
35 Unforced Errors 39
1.4 Average Odds 2.6

Mika Brunold — Last 10

L W W W W W W W W W

Massimo Giunta — Last 10

L L W W W L W L L W