ATP tennis predict — Mika Brunold vs Liam Gavrielides

Challenger Clay Augsburg challenger · qualification - round of 16 12:00

Predicted probability

Mika Brunold

Switzerland

62.61%

Liam Gavrielides

Germany

37.39%

Average Odds

1.34 / 2.96

Market probability

68.84% / 31.16%

Why This Prediction?

Mika Brunold is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1627 vs 1517), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1586 vs 1558) and fewer double faults per game (0.15 vs 0.24).

Player Comparison

1626.8 Elo 1517.4

1586.1 Elo (surface) 1558.0

63 Wins (Challenger) 13

36 Wins (surface) 11

9 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.851 Dominance ratio 1.174

423 Rank 1143

21.9 Age 22.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Mika Brunold

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 16W–3L · 84.2%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Liam Gavrielides

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

2 matches with market odds since 2026-08-23.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mika Brunold Liam Gavrielides

1st Serve In %

62.3%

39.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.3%

52.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.0%

60.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.3%

11.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

38.8%

18.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.33

0.00

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.50

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

67.7%

54.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.6%

71.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.1%

55.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.6%

32.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.9%

49.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.17

0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mika Brunold Liam Gavrielides

Break Points Saved %

60.7%

72.7%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.6%

53.3%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

43.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Mika Brunold 0 – 0 Liam Gavrielides

Clay Augsburg challenger · 2026-08-24

qualification - round of 16

Mika Brunold #424

Liam Gavrielides #1045

6-2 7-6

3 Aces 2

2 Double Faults 3

59 Service Points 70

40 First Serve In 34

33 First Serve Won 22

11 Second Serve Won 17

1 Break Points Saved 4

2 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.0

Mika Brunold vs Liam Gavrielides — Prediction