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Mika Brunold vs Kai Wehnelt — Prediction

Challenger Clay Tulln challenger · qualification - 1. round 10:00

Predicted probability

Mika Brunold

Switzerland

69.64%

Kai Wehnelt

Germany

30.36%

Average Odds

1.30  /  3.34

Market probability

71.98%  /  28.02%

Why This Prediction?

Mika Brunold is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1629 vs 1520), more wins on clay courts (1 vs 0) and a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1598 vs 1590).

Player Comparison

1629.3 Elo 1520.1
1598.2 Elo (surface) 1589.9
65 Wins (Challenger) 31
38 Wins (surface) 21
9 Last 15 form 10
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.923 Dominance ratio 0.944
410 Rank 573
21.9 Age 30.8
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Mika Brunold

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 16W–3L · 84.2%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Kai Wehnelt

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–1L · 87.5%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-28.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mika Brunold Kai Wehnelt

1st Serve In %

62.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

38.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

67.7%
62.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.6%
73.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.1%
53.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.6%
23.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.9%
45.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.17
0.64

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22
0.39

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mika Brunold Kai Wehnelt

Break Points Saved %

60.7%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.6%
61.5%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%
39.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Mika Brunold 00 Kai Wehnelt

Clay Tulln challenger · 2026-09-06

qualification - 1. round

Mika Brunold #410

Kai Wehnelt #573

7-6 6-3
3 Aces 3
5 Double Faults 3
69 Service Points 62
45 First Serve In 38
34 First Serve Won 31
16 Second Serve Won 12
0 Break Points Saved 0
0 Break Points Faced 1
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.3 Average Odds 3.3

Mika Brunold — Last 10

L W W W W W W W W W

Kai Wehnelt — Last 10

L L W W L L W W W W