ATP tennis predict — Mika Brunold vs Gustavo Heide

Challenger Clay Tulln challenger · QF 12:00

Predicted probability

Mika Brunold

Switzerland

40.44%

Gustavo Heide

Brazil

59.56%

Average Odds

2.92 / 1.37

Market probability

31.93% / 68.07%

Why This Prediction?

Gustavo Heide is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1864 vs 1731), a higher Elo rating (1803 vs 1736) and a stronger serve (63.7% vs 55.4% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1736.0 Elo 1803.0

1730.7 Elo (surface) 1864.3

69 Wins (Challenger) 103

42 Wins (surface) 92

11 Last 15 form 11

0 Head-to-head wins 1

1.015 Dominance ratio 0.985

410 Rank 128

21.9 Age 24.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Mika Brunold

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 16W–3L · 84.2%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Gustavo Heide

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–4L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-06-20.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mika Brunold Gustavo Heide

1st Serve In %

62.3%

56.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.3%

73.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.0%

49.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.3%

28.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

38.8%

45.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.33

0.35

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.38

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

67.7%

60.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.6%

65.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.1%

53.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.6%

31.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.9%

46.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.17

0.23

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mika Brunold Gustavo Heide

Break Points Saved %

60.7%

63.3%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

27.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.6%

55.1%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

32.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Mika Brunold 0 – 1 Gustavo Heide

Clay Tulln challenger · 2026-09-11

QF

Mika Brunold #410

Gustavo Heide #128

6-2 6-1

1 Aces 3

2 Double Faults 2

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

27 First Serve Won 19

13 Second Serve Won 4

7 Break Points Saved 5

7 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.9 Average Odds 1.4

Clay Gstaad · 2024-07-15

Q1

Gustavo Heide #178

Mika Brunold #576

6-4 6-2

2 Aces 1

2 Double Faults 1

48 Service Points 50

30 First Serve In 31

25 First Serve Won 17

10 Second Serve Won 10

3 Break Points Saved 5

4 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Mika Brunold vs Gustavo Heide — Prediction