ATP tennis predict — Mika Brunold vs Ergi Kirkin

Challenger Clay Augsburg challenger · qualification - 1. round 13:30

Predicted probability

Mika Brunold

Switzerland

65.40%

Ergi Kirkin

Turkey

34.60%

Average Odds

1.33 / 3.09

Market probability

69.91% / 30.09%

Why This Prediction?

Mika Brunold is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1614 vs 1508), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1567 vs 1513) and more aces per game (0.16 vs 0.12).

Player Comparison

1613.9 Elo 1508.1

1567.4 Elo (surface) 1513.0

62 Wins (Challenger) 95

35 Wins (surface) 60

9 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.855 Dominance ratio 0.931

423 Rank 594

21.9 Age 27.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Mika Brunold

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 16W–3L · 84.2%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Ergi Kirkin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-07-28.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mika Brunold Ergi Kirkin

1st Serve In %

62.3%

58.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.3%

65.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.0%

42.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.3%

24.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

38.8%

40.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.33

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

67.7%

53.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.6%

68.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.1%

47.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.6%

26.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.9%

45.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.17

0.24

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mika Brunold Ergi Kirkin

Break Points Saved %

60.7%

60.4%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

42.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.6%

46.0%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

44.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Mika Brunold 0 – 0 Ergi Kirkin

Clay Augsburg challenger · 2026-08-23

qualification - 1. round

Mika Brunold #423

Ergi Kirkin #594

6-3 6-4

4 Aces 1

3 Double Faults 1

60 Service Points 53

38 First Serve In 28

29 First Serve Won 21

11 Second Serve Won 11

1 Break Points Saved 3

2 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.1

Mika Brunold vs Ergi Kirkin — Prediction