ATP tennis predict — Mika Brunold vs Carlo Alberto Caniato

Challenger Clay Biella challenger · QF 13:30

Predicted probability

Mika Brunold

Switzerland

70.47%

Carlo Alberto Caniato

Italy

29.53%

Average Odds

1.35 / 2.99

Market probability

68.89% / 31.11%

Why This Prediction?

Mika Brunold is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1805 vs 1587), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1813 vs 1597) and better recent form (13 wins in his last 15 matches vs 7).

Player Comparison

1804.9 Elo 1586.8

1813.4 Elo (surface) 1597.4

74 Wins (Challenger) 22

47 Wins (surface) 20

13 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.015 Dominance ratio 1.626

257 Rank 534

22.0 Age 20.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Mika Brunold

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 16W–3L · 84.2%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Carlo Alberto Caniato

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mika Brunold Carlo Alberto Caniato

1st Serve In %

62.3%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

63.3%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.0%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.3%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

38.8%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.33

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

67.7%

63.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.6%

69.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.1%

67.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.6%

40.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.9%

49.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.17

0.37

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.14

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mika Brunold Carlo Alberto Caniato

Break Points Saved %

60.7%

—

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.6%

66.7%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

44.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Mika Brunold 0 – 0 Carlo Alberto Caniato

Clay Biella challenger · 2026-09-18

QF

Carlo Alberto Caniato #534

Mika Brunold #257

6-0 3-6 6-4

2 Aces 5

1 Double Faults 2

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

37 First Serve Won 33

6 Second Serve Won 14

6 Break Points Saved 4

11 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

3.0 Average Odds 1.4

Mika Brunold vs Carlo Alberto Caniato — Prediction