ATP tennis predict — Mika Brunold vs Benjamin Bonzi

Challenger Hard Roanne challenger · R16 10:00

Predicted probability

Mika Brunold

Switzerland

33.60%

Benjamin Bonzi

France

66.40%

Average Odds

3.00 / 1.33

Market probability

30.72% / 69.28%

Why This Prediction?

Benjamin Bonzi is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1851 vs 1703), a higher Elo rating (1901 vs 1784) and more wins on hard courts (65 vs 1).

Player Comparison

1783.7 Elo 1901.0

1703.5 Elo (surface) 1851.1

75 Wins (Challenger) 200

28 Wins (surface) 142

13 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.015 Dominance ratio 0.964

261 Rank 92

22.0 Age 30.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Mika Brunold

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 16W–3L · 84.2%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

30 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Benjamin Bonzi

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mika Brunold Benjamin Bonzi

1st Serve In %

62.3%

57.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.3%

72.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.0%

48.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.3%

24.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

38.8%

53.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.33

0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

69.0%

63.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

57.5%

72.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.3%

51.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.8%

25.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.3%

48.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.16

0.51

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.37

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mika Brunold Benjamin Bonzi

Break Points Saved %

60.7%

55.4%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

38.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.8%

67.2%

Break Points Converted %

37.5%

32.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Mika Brunold and Benjamin Bonzi have never played each other.

Mika Brunold vs Benjamin Bonzi — Prediction