ATP tennis predict — Miguel Tobon vs Juan Bautista Torres

Challenger Clay Curitiba challenger · 1. round 15:00

Predicted probability

Miguel Tobon

Colombia

45.18%

Juan Bautista Torres

Argentina

54.82%

Average Odds

2.73 / 1.39

Market probability

33.74% / 66.26%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1547.5 Elo 1641.8

1567.8 Elo (surface) 1636.2

58 Wins (Challenger) 147

38 Wins (surface) 145

6 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 3

0.961 Dominance ratio 1.005

- Rank 276

20.3 Age 24.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Miguel Tobon

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Juan Bautista Torres

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Miguel Tobon Juan Bautista Torres

1st Serve In %

53.9%

71.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.9%

66.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.3%

55.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.3%

34.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.1%

45.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.37

0.07

Double Faults per Service Game

0.42

0.11

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.1%

67.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.5%

62.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.7%

48.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.6%

36.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

49.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.31

0.12

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.16

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Miguel Tobon Juan Bautista Torres

Break Points Saved %

44.4%

53.8%

Break Points Converted %

37.9%

40.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

54.4%

51.6%

Break Points Converted %

45.1%

57.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Miguel Tobon 0 – 3 Juan Bautista Torres

Clay Cordoba CH · 2026-05-11

QF

Juan Bautista Torres #325

Miguel Tobon #501

6-7(4) 6-4 6-1

2 Aces 7

3 Double Faults 3

121 Service Points 101

80 First Serve In 58

53 First Serve Won 37

17 Second Serve Won 16

13 Break Points Saved 8

16 Break Points Faced 14

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Florianopolis CH · 2025-11-17

R32

Juan Bautista Torres #370

Miguel Tobon #588

6-1 7-6(2)

0 Aces 1

1 Double Faults 3

56 Service Points 70

46 First Serve In 43

35 First Serve Won 25

3 Second Serve Won 9

1 Break Points Saved 5

3 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Lima Los Inkas CH · 2025-10-27

R32

Juan Bautista Torres #404

Miguel Tobon #566

6-1 6-2

0 Aces 1

0 Double Faults 2

46 Service Points 46

32 First Serve In 31

25 First Serve Won 17

9 Second Serve Won 6

3 Break Points Saved 3

3 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Miguel Tobon vs Juan Bautista Torres — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Miguel Tobon — Last 10

Juan Bautista Torres — Last 10