ATP tennis predict — Miguel Damas vs Mika Brunold

Challenger Clay Tulln challenger · 1. round 13:00

Predicted probability

Miguel Damas

Spain

32.65%

Mika Brunold

Switzerland

67.35%

Average Odds

2.35 / 1.54

Market probability

39.59% / 60.41%

Why This Prediction?

Mika Brunold is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1656 vs 1525), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1638 vs 1556) and a stronger serve (63.5% vs 58.3% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1525.4 Elo 1656.0

1555.6 Elo (surface) 1637.8

67 Wins (Challenger) 67

55 Wins (surface) 40

6 Last 15 form 11

3 Head-to-head wins 1

1.060 Dominance ratio 1.037

316 Rank 410

26.7 Age 21.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Miguel Damas

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–8L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Mika Brunold

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 16W–3L · 84.2%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Miguel Damas Mika Brunold

1st Serve In %

67.5%

62.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

53.9%

63.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.6%

47.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.1%

23.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.9%

38.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.16

0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.2%

67.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.8%

63.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.2%

57.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

42.5%

28.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.4%

51.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.23

0.17

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Miguel Damas Mika Brunold

Break Points Saved %

46.9%

60.7%

Break Points Converted %

36.8%

50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.8%

53.6%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Miguel Damas 3 – 1 Mika Brunold

Clay Tulln challenger · 2026-09-08

1. round

Mika Brunold #410

Miguel Damas #316

6-3 4-0

0 Aces 7

1 Double Faults 1

61 Service Points 40

46 First Serve In 27

21 First Serve Won 21

8 Second Serve Won 7

5 Break Points Saved 5

9 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.4

Clay Zug challenger · 2026-07-21

1. round

Mika Brunold #415

Miguel Damas #286

6-1 6-0

1 Aces 0

4 Double Faults 0

51 Service Points 37

25 First Serve In 23

8 First Serve Won 16

13 Second Serve Won 10

2 Break Points Saved 1

8 Break Points Faced 1

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.1 Average Odds 1.7

Clay Mauthausen CH · 2026-04-27

R16

Miguel Damas #271

Mika Brunold #383

6-3 6-1

1 Aces 1

0 Double Faults 2

47 Service Points 63

28 First Serve In 43

17 First Serve Won 19

13 Second Serve Won 8

2 Break Points Saved 2

4 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Rome CH · 2026-04-20

Q1

Miguel Damas #271

Mika Brunold #383

6-3 6-3

1 Aces 0

2 Double Faults 3

45 Service Points 61

27 First Serve In 41

17 First Serve Won 16

9 Second Serve Won 10

0 Break Points Saved 4

3 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Targu Mures 2 CH · 2025-09-16

R16

Miguel Damas #363

Mika Brunold #314

6-3 6-1

2 Aces 2

0 Double Faults 3

43 Service Points 56

29 First Serve In 39

24 First Serve Won 23

10 Second Serve Won 4

3 Break Points Saved 5

3 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Miguel Damas vs Mika Brunold — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Miguel Damas — Last 10

Mika Brunold — Last 10