ATP tennis predict — Miguel Damas vs Hugo Dellien

Challenger Clay Porto 2 challenger · QF 15:30

Predicted probability

Miguel Damas

Spain

30.42%

Hugo Dellien

Bolivia

69.58%

Average Odds

4.01 / 1.22

Market probability

23.33% / 76.67%

Why This Prediction?

Hugo Dellien is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1707 vs 1534), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1753 vs 1565) and more wins on clay courts (259 vs 55).

Player Comparison

1534.1 Elo 1707.1

1564.7 Elo (surface) 1753.0

67 Wins (Challenger) 260

55 Wins (surface) 259

6 Last 15 form 11

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.046 Dominance ratio 0.906

316 Rank 140

26.7 Age 33.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Miguel Damas

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–8L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Hugo Dellien

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–5L · 68.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Miguel Damas Hugo Dellien

1st Serve In %

67.5%

66.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

53.9%

65.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.6%

50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.1%

31.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.9%

47.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.16

0.34

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.2%

65.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.8%

60.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.2%

44.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

42.5%

32.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.4%

52.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.23

0.22

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Miguel Damas Hugo Dellien

Break Points Saved %

46.9%

53.8%

Break Points Converted %

36.8%

40.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.8%

43.1%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

37.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Miguel Damas 0 – 0 Hugo Dellien

Clay Porto 2 challenger · 2026-09-04

QF

Hugo Dellien #140

Miguel Damas #316

6-2 6-4

3 Aces 2

1 Double Faults 0

63 Service Points 72

41 First Serve In 54

26 First Serve Won 33

10 Second Serve Won 12

2 Break Points Saved 2

5 Break Points Faced 2

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 4.0

Miguel Damas vs Hugo Dellien — Prediction