ATP tennis predict — Miguel Damas vs Dimitris Sakellaridis

Challenger Clay Bonn challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Miguel Damas

Spain

76.09%

Dimitris Sakellaridis

Greece

23.91%

Average Odds

1.22 / 3.88

Market probability

76.08% / 23.92%

Why This Prediction?

Miguel Damas is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1512 vs 1443), more career match wins (64 vs 2) and a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1541 vs 1500).

Player Comparison

1511.7 Elo 1443.3

1541.2 Elo (surface) 1500

64 Wins (Challenger) 2

52 Wins (surface) 0

6 Last 15 form 2

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.174 Dominance ratio 0.844

286 Rank 645

26.6 Age 20.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Miguel Damas

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–8L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Dimitris Sakellaridis

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-07-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Miguel Damas Dimitris Sakellaridis

1st Serve In %

67.5%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

53.9%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.6%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.1%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.9%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.16

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.2%

61.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.8%

69.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.2%

49.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

42.5%

38.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.4%

61.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.23

0.28

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Miguel Damas Dimitris Sakellaridis

Break Points Saved %

46.9%

—

Break Points Converted %

36.8%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.8%

46.8%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

49.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Miguel Damas 0 – 0 Dimitris Sakellaridis

Clay Bonn challenger · 2026-07-26

qualification - 1. round

Dimitris Sakellaridis #471

Miguel Damas #252

2-6 6-3 6-0

3 Aces 5

4 Double Faults 3

84 Service Points 69

44 First Serve In 37

28 First Serve Won 27

20 Second Serve Won 16

5 Break Points Saved 7

10 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

3.9 Average Odds 1.2

Miguel Damas vs Dimitris Sakellaridis — Prediction