ATP tennis predict — Miguel Damas vs Dimitar Kuzmanov

Challenger Clay Porto 2 challenger · R16 13:10

Predicted probability

Miguel Damas

Spain

32.60%

Dimitar Kuzmanov

Bulgaria

67.40%

Average Odds

2.13 / 1.66

Market probability

43.80% / 56.20%

Why This Prediction?

Dimitar Kuzmanov is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1647 vs 1512), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1659 vs 1541) and more wins on clay courts (156 vs 54).

Player Comparison

1511.8 Elo 1646.6

1540.7 Elo (surface) 1658.7

66 Wins (Challenger) 227

54 Wins (surface) 156

6 Last 15 form 10

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.097 Dominance ratio 1.177

316 Rank 382

26.7 Age 33.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Miguel Damas

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–8L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Dimitar Kuzmanov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 11W–2L · 84.6%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–6L · 14.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

30 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Miguel Damas Dimitar Kuzmanov

1st Serve In %

67.5%

70.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

53.9%

64.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.6%

50.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.1%

27.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.9%

48.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.16

0.12

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.14

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.2%

69.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.8%

67.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.2%

55.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

42.5%

32.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.4%

56.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.23

0.20

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Miguel Damas Dimitar Kuzmanov

Break Points Saved %

46.9%

53.8%

Break Points Converted %

36.8%

44.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.8%

49.1%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

43.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Miguel Damas 1 – 0 Dimitar Kuzmanov

Clay Porto 2 challenger · 2026-09-03

R16

Miguel Damas #316

Dimitar Kuzmanov #382

7-5 3-6 7-6

2 Aces 3

5 Double Faults 4

127 Service Points 101

96 First Serve In 76

58 First Serve Won 43

12 Second Serve Won 14

12 Break Points Saved 6

19 Break Points Faced 12

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.1 Average Odds 1.7

Clay Sibiu CH · 2024-09-16

R32

Miguel Damas #366

Dimitar Kuzmanov #365

2-6 7-6(4) 7-5

0 Aces 2

2 Double Faults 1

109 Service Points 110

63 First Serve In 82

40 First Serve Won 53

24 Second Serve Won 13

9 Break Points Saved 7

14 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Miguel Damas vs Dimitar Kuzmanov — Prediction