ATP tennis predict — Mickael Kaouk vs Anton Matusevich

Challenger Hard Rennes challenger · 1. round 20:30

Predicted probability

Mickael Kaouk

France

17.98%

Anton Matusevich

Great Britain

82.02%

Average Odds

3.63 / 1.24

Market probability

25.46% / 74.54%

Why This Prediction?

Anton Matusevich is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1589 vs 1431), a higher Elo rating (1670 vs 1461) and more wins on hard courts (12 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1461.1 Elo 1669.7

1431.5 Elo (surface) 1589.0

1 Wins (Challenger) 36

0 Wins (surface) 12

1 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.016 Dominance ratio 0.779

950 Rank 321

None Age 25.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Mickael Kaouk

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-06-29.

Anton Matusevich

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mickael Kaouk Anton Matusevich

1st Serve In %

—

56.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

71.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

50.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

30.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

50.0%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.56

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.5%

58.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.0%

69.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

39.7%

45.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.6%

28.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.9%

48.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.27

0.51

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mickael Kaouk Anton Matusevich

Break Points Saved %

—

63.3%

Break Points Converted %

—

39.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.3%

50.8%

Break Points Converted %

37.5%

41.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Mickael Kaouk 0 – 0 Anton Matusevich

Hard Rennes challenger · 2026-09-15

1. round

Anton Matusevich #321

Mickael Kaouk #950

6-0 6-3

1 Aces 0

3 Double Faults 0

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

19 First Serve Won 26

6 Second Serve Won 6

4 Break Points Saved 0

8 Break Points Faced 0

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 3.6

Mickael Kaouk vs Anton Matusevich — Prediction