ATP tennis predict — Michele Ribecai vs Tomasz Berkieta

Challenger Hard Grodzisk Mazowiecki challenger · R16 14:00

Predicted probability

Michele Ribecai

Italy

52.13%

Tomasz Berkieta

Poland

47.87%

Average Odds

1.49 / 2.51

Market probability

62.75% / 37.25%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1475.1 Elo 1470.8

1558.4 Elo (surface) 1493.8

23 Wins (Challenger) 8

12 Wins (surface) 3

6 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.083 Dominance ratio 1.020

265 Rank 558

23.5 Age 20.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Michele Ribecai

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Tomasz Berkieta

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Michele Ribecai Tomasz Berkieta

1st Serve In %

63.8%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

70.6%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

41.4%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.5%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

39.3%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.15

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.4%

58.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.8%

69.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

40.1%

46.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.1%

31.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.8%

49.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.49

0.46

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.40

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Michele Ribecai Tomasz Berkieta

Break Points Saved %

60.0%

—

Break Points Converted %

25.0%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

45.0%

59.6%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

34.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Michele Ribecai 0 – 0 Tomasz Berkieta

Hard Grodzisk Mazowiecki challenger · 2026-08-05

R16

Michele Ribecai #265

Tomasz Berkieta #558

7-5 6-4

3 Aces 9

1 Double Faults 5

74 Service Points 78

40 First Serve In 39

25 First Serve Won 27

20 Second Serve Won 16

7 Break Points Saved 4

9 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.5

Michele Ribecai vs Tomasz Berkieta — Prediction