ATP tennis predict — Michele Ribecai vs Titouan Droguet

Challenger Hard Rennes challenger · 1. round 16:00

Predicted probability

Michele Ribecai

Italy

14.72%

Titouan Droguet

France

85.28%

Average Odds

4.38 / 1.19

Market probability

21.36% / 78.64%

Why This Prediction?

Titouan Droguet is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1932 vs 1611), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1856 vs 1604) and more wins on hard courts (24 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1610.8 Elo 1931.5

1604.2 Elo (surface) 1855.7

28 Wins (Challenger) 126

17 Wins (surface) 57

7 Last 15 form 13

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.970 Dominance ratio 1.165

260 Rank 89

23.6 Age 25.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Michele Ribecai

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Titouan Droguet

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–1L · 85.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–3L · 78.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

32 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Michele Ribecai Titouan Droguet

1st Serve In %

63.8%

56.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.6%

70.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

41.4%

45.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.5%

27.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

39.3%

50.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.15

0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.39

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.4%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

66.8%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

40.1%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.1%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.8%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.49

0.62

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Michele Ribecai Titouan Droguet

Break Points Saved %

60.0%

58.3%

Break Points Converted %

25.0%

42.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

45.0%

68.0%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

43.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Michele Ribecai 0 – 0 Titouan Droguet

Hard Rennes challenger · 2026-09-16

1. round

Titouan Droguet #89

Michele Ribecai #260

7-6 6-4

3 Aces 10

1 Double Faults 1

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

39 First Serve Won 36

19 Second Serve Won 15

12 Break Points Saved 2

14 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 4.4

Michele Ribecai vs Titouan Droguet — Prediction