ATP tennis predict — Michele Ribecai vs Radu Mihai Papoe

Challenger Clay Catania challenger · 1. round 10:00

Predicted probability

Michele Ribecai

Italy

40.25%

Radu Mihai Papoe

Romania

59.75%

Average Odds

1.55 / 2.29

Market probability

59.64% / 40.36%

Why This Prediction?

Radu Mihai Papoe is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1695 vs 1557), a higher Elo rating (1686 vs 1606) and more wins on clay courts (24 vs 13).

Player Comparison

1605.8 Elo 1685.6

1557.2 Elo (surface) 1695.3

30 Wins (Challenger) 27

13 Wins (surface) 24

8 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.970 Dominance ratio 1.141

282 Rank 326

23.7 Age 24.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Michele Ribecai

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Radu Mihai Papoe

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-06-21.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Michele Ribecai Radu Mihai Papoe

1st Serve In %

63.8%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

70.6%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

41.4%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.5%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

39.3%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.15

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.4%

64.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.3%

59.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

38.1%

47.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.7%

42.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.3%

55.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.39

0.17

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.13

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Michele Ribecai Radu Mihai Papoe

Break Points Saved %

60.0%

—

Break Points Converted %

25.0%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

45.9%

40.3%

Break Points Converted %

41.3%

47.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Michele Ribecai and Radu Mihai Papoe have never played each other.

Michele Ribecai vs Radu Mihai Papoe — Prediction