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Michele Ribecai vs Jonas Forejtek — Prediction

Challenger Clay Palermo challenger · QF 11:00

Predicted probability

Michele Ribecai

Italy

40.70%

Jonas Forejtek

Czech Republic

59.30%

Average Odds

2.20  /  1.59

Market probability

41.95%  /  58.05%

Why This Prediction?

Jonas Forejtek is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1647 vs 1582), a stronger return game (45.1% vs 41.4% of return points won) and more wins on clay courts (81 vs 13).

Player Comparison

1627.3 Elo 1656.6
1582.4 Elo (surface) 1647.0
30 Wins (Challenger) 130
13 Wins (surface) 81
8 Last 15 form 7
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.970 Dominance ratio 1.056
282 Rank 343
23.7 Age 25.6
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Michele Ribecai

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–2L · 71.4%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–2L · 66.7%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–5L · 37.5%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Jonas Forejtek

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Michele Ribecai Jonas Forejtek

1st Serve In %

63.8%
61.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.6%
68.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

41.4%
44.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.5%
18.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

39.3%
49.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.15
0.37

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23
0.17

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.9%
66.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.3%
64.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

39.0%
43.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.3%
39.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.5%
55.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.44
0.27

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21
0.11

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Michele Ribecai Jonas Forejtek

Break Points Saved %

60.0%
63.6%

Break Points Converted %

25.0%
26.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

47.1%
60.9%

Break Points Converted %

43.1%
44.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Michele Ribecai and Jonas Forejtek have never played each other.

Michele Ribecai — Last 10

W W L L L L W L W W

Jonas Forejtek — Last 10

W W L W W W W L L L