ATP tennis predict — Michele Ribecai vs Iliyan Radulov

Challenger Hard Grodzisk Mazowiecki challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Michele Ribecai

Italy

62.72%

Iliyan Radulov

Bulgaria

37.28%

Average Odds

1.87 / 1.85

Market probability

49.73% / 50.27%

Why This Prediction?

Michele Ribecai is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1452 vs 1410), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1529 vs 1473) and more wins on hard courts (11 vs 2).

Player Comparison

1452.3 Elo 1410.1

1529.5 Elo (surface) 1472.9

22 Wins (Challenger) 7

11 Wins (surface) 2

6 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.072 Dominance ratio 0.889

267 Rank 615

23.5 Age 21.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Michele Ribecai

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Iliyan Radulov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Michele Ribecai Iliyan Radulov

1st Serve In %

63.8%

59.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.6%

80.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

41.4%

47.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.5%

64.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

39.3%

47.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.15

0.12

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.12

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.4%

59.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.8%

61.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

40.1%

47.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.1%

28.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.8%

44.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.49

0.22

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Michele Ribecai Iliyan Radulov

Break Points Saved %

60.0%

66.7%

Break Points Converted %

25.0%

50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

45.0%

51.8%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

43.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Michele Ribecai 0 – 0 Iliyan Radulov

Hard Grodzisk Mazowiecki challenger · 2026-08-03

1. round

Michele Ribecai #265

Iliyan Radulov #617

6-2 6-1

4 Aces 4

1 Double Faults 2

64 Service Points 54

41 First Serve In 28

27 First Serve Won 13

15 Second Serve Won 11

6 Break Points Saved 7

6 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.9 Average Odds 1.9

Michele Ribecai vs Iliyan Radulov — Prediction