ATP tennis predict — Michele Ribecai vs Benito Sanchez Martinez

Challenger Clay Palermo challenger · 1. round 11:00

Predicted probability

Michele Ribecai

Italy

41.17%

Benito Sanchez Martinez

Germany

58.83%

Average Odds

1.79 / 1.90

Market probability

51.49% / 48.51%

Why This Prediction?

Benito Sanchez Martinez is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1623 vs 1497), a stronger serve (81.6% vs 60.0% of service points won) and a stronger return game (43.4% vs 41.4% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1573.2 Elo 1618.0

1497.4 Elo (surface) 1623.3

28 Wins (Challenger) 9

11 Wins (surface) 9

6 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.970 Dominance ratio 1.229

277 Rank 901

23.7 Age 24.4

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Michele Ribecai

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Benito Sanchez Martinez

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-07-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Michele Ribecai Benito Sanchez Martinez

1st Serve In %

63.8%

75.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.6%

81.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

41.4%

83.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.5%

32.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

39.3%

50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.15

0.50

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.00

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.4%

63.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.8%

70.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

40.1%

53.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.1%

33.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.8%

57.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.49

0.28

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Michele Ribecai Benito Sanchez Martinez

Break Points Saved %

60.0%

—

Break Points Converted %

25.0%

60.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

45.0%

65.5%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

48.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Michele Ribecai and Benito Sanchez Martinez have never played each other.

Michele Ribecai vs Benito Sanchez Martinez — Prediction