ATP tennis predict — Michael Zheng vs Yaojie Zeng

Challenger Hard Jingshan challenger · 1. round 05:00

Predicted probability

Michael Zheng

USA

94.52%

Yaojie Zeng

China

5.48%

Average Odds

1.01 / 12.78

Market probability

92.68% / 7.32%

Why This Prediction?

Michael Zheng is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1904 vs 1318), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1860 vs 1310) and a stronger serve (63.8% vs 60.6% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1904.0 Elo 1318.2

1859.8 Elo (surface) 1309.8

45 Wins (Challenger) 6

45 Wins (surface) 6

9 Last 15 form 4

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.167 Dominance ratio 0.761

92 Rank 1001

22.7 Age 24.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Michael Zheng

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 7W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–5L · 64.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

27 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Yaojie Zeng

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-09-06.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Michael Zheng Yaojie Zeng

1st Serve In %

55.4%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

68.4%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.2%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.7%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.1%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.32

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.36

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.7%

60.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.3%

66.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.6%

52.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.3%

21.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.8%

41.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.59

0.64

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Michael Zheng Yaojie Zeng

Break Points Saved %

51.2%

—

Break Points Converted %

31.5%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

69.2%

47.2%

Break Points Converted %

43.6%

31.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Michael Zheng and Yaojie Zeng have never played each other.

Michael Zheng vs Yaojie Zeng — Prediction