ATP tennis predict — Michael Zheng vs Trevor Svajda

Challenger Hard Tiburon challenger · R16 23:30

Predicted probability

Michael Zheng

USA

80.86%

Trevor Svajda

USA

19.14%

Average Odds

1.29 / 3.36

Market probability

72.26% / 27.74%

Why This Prediction?

Michael Zheng is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1946 vs 1664), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1906 vs 1641) and a stronger serve (63.8% vs 56.9% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1946.3 Elo 1664.2

1906.2 Elo (surface) 1640.5

43 Wins (Challenger) 21

43 Wins (surface) 21

9 Last 15 form 7

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.167 Dominance ratio 0.857

88 Rank 529

22.6 Age 20.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Michael Zheng

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 7W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–4L · 69.2%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Trevor Svajda

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-27.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Michael Zheng Trevor Svajda

1st Serve In %

54.9%

57.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.0%

71.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.8%

47.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.1%

26.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.5%

47.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.33

0.51

Double Faults per Service Game

0.35

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.7%

55.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.3%

70.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.6%

50.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.3%

27.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.8%

41.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.59

0.47

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Michael Zheng Trevor Svajda

Break Points Saved %

52.5%

65.0%

Break Points Converted %

35.1%

32.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

69.2%

62.3%

Break Points Converted %

43.6%

40.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Michael Zheng 1 – 0 Trevor Svajda

Hard Tiburon challenger · 2026-09-18

R16

Michael Zheng #88

Trevor Svajda #529

6-1 6-4

9 Aces 2

4 Double Faults 2

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

28 First Serve Won 14

7 Second Serve Won 10

3 Break Points Saved 3

4 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.4

Hard Cincinnati · 2026-08-13

qualification - 2. round

Michael Zheng #113

Trevor Svajda #383

3-6 7-5 6-3

1 Aces 12

4 Double Faults 6

119 Service Points 109

54 First Serve In 66

39 First Serve Won 48

34 Second Serve Won 22

8 Break Points Saved 12

11 Break Points Faced 14

30 Winners 44

42 Unforced Errors 64

1.3 Average Odds 3.1

Michael Zheng vs Trevor Svajda — Prediction