ATP tennis predict — Michael Zheng vs Miomir Kecmanovic

ATP Hard Montreal · 1. round

Predicted probability

Michael Zheng

USA

42.17%

Miomir Kecmanovic

Serbia

57.83%

Average Odds

1.69 / 2.16

Market probability

56.10% / 43.90%

Why This Prediction?

Miomir Kecmanovic is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1790 vs 1653), a stronger serve (65.7% vs 60.9% of service points won) and more wins on hard courts (135 vs 8).

Player Comparison

1744.1 Elo 1751.2

1652.8 Elo (surface) 1790.1

13 Wins 209

8 Wins (surface) 135

10 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.006 Dominance ratio 1.021

118 Rank 60

22.5 Age 26.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Michael Zheng

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 7W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–4L · 69.2%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Miomir Kecmanovic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–5L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Michael Zheng Miomir Kecmanovic

1st Serve In %

54.9%

58.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.0%

74.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.8%

45.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.1%

32.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.5%

48.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.33

0.64

Double Faults per Service Game

0.35

0.40

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.7%

58.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.3%

72.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.6%

52.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.3%

38.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.8%

57.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.59

0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Michael Zheng Miomir Kecmanovic

Break Points Saved %

52.5%

64.7%

Break Points Converted %

35.1%

35.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

69.2%

65.6%

Break Points Converted %

43.6%

49.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Michael Zheng 0 – 0 Miomir Kecmanovic

Hard Montreal · 2026-08-04

1. round

Miomir Kecmanovic #62

Michael Zheng #113

6-4 4-6 7-6

7 Aces 5

6 Double Faults 8

110 Service Points 128

67 First Serve In 80

48 First Serve Won 54

19 Second Serve Won 20

4 Break Points Saved 11

8 Break Points Faced 15

31 Winners 30

30 Unforced Errors 33

2.2 Average Odds 1.7

Michael Zheng vs Miomir Kecmanovic — Prediction