ATP tennis predict — Michael Zheng vs Federico Agustin Gomez

ATP Hard Shanghai · qualification - 1. round 08:15

Predicted probability

Michael Zheng

USA

81.46%

Federico Agustin Gomez

Argentina

18.54%

Average Odds

1.14 / 5.35

Market probability

82.43% / 17.57%

Why This Prediction?

Michael Zheng is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1873 vs 1683), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1830 vs 1609) and the advantage of playing in his home country.

Player Comparison

1873.4 Elo 1683.3

1830.0 Elo (surface) 1609.1

19 Wins 20

14 Wins (surface) 9

9 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.993 Dominance ratio 1.077

92 Rank 196

22.7 Age 29.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Michael Zheng

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 8W–1L · 88.9%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–5L · 64.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Federico Agustin Gomez

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–4L · 55.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Michael Zheng Federico Agustin Gomez

1st Serve In %

55.4%

62.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.4%

72.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.2%

45.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.7%

31.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.1%

54.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.32

0.42

Double Faults per Service Game

0.36

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

53.9%

66.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

78.1%

59.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.4%

45.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.4%

31.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

56.4%

43.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.52

0.30

Double Faults per Service Game

0.34

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Michael Zheng Federico Agustin Gomez

Break Points Saved %

51.2%

51.8%

Break Points Converted %

31.5%

34.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

69.1%

47.4%

Break Points Converted %

46.7%

38.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Michael Zheng and Federico Agustin Gomez have never played each other.

Michael Zheng vs Federico Agustin Gomez — Prediction