ATP tennis predict — Michael Zheng vs Bu Yunchaokete

Grand Slam Hard US Open · 2. round 01:40

Predicted probability

Michael Zheng

USA

43.54%

Bu Yunchaokete

China

56.46%

Average Odds

1.52 / 2.52

Market probability

62.38% / 37.62%

Why This Prediction?

Bu Yunchaokete is the favorite because he has a stronger serve (68.3% vs 59.7% of service points won), fewer double faults per game (0.10 vs 0.17) and more wins on hard courts (33 vs 13).

Player Comparison

1788.5 Elo 1799.0

1707.9 Elo (surface) 1728.3

18 Wins 38

13 Wins (surface) 33

11 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 1

1.017 Dominance ratio 1.091

107 Rank 124

22.6 Age 24.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Michael Zheng

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 7W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–4L · 69.2%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Bu Yunchaokete

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Michael Zheng Bu Yunchaokete

1st Serve In %

54.9%

61.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.0%

79.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.8%

48.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.1%

26.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.5%

50.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.33

0.69

Double Faults per Service Game

0.35

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.7%

60.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.3%

70.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.6%

43.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.3%

24.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.8%

40.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.59

0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Michael Zheng Bu Yunchaokete

Break Points Saved %

52.5%

40.5%

Break Points Converted %

35.1%

43.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

69.2%

38.6%

Break Points Converted %

43.6%

18.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Michael Zheng 0 – 1 Bu Yunchaokete

Hard US Open · 2026-09-04

2. round

Michael Zheng #107

Bu Yunchaokete #124

6-3 2-6 6-2 6-3

8 Aces 13

8 Double Faults 5

107 Service Points 99

52 First Serve In 52

37 First Serve Won 43

24 Second Serve Won 24

5 Break Points Saved 4

11 Break Points Faced 7

26 Winners 48

39 Unforced Errors 38

1.5 Average Odds 2.5

Hard Chicago CH · 2024-07-22

R32

Bu Yunchaokete #147

Michael Zheng #998

6-4 6-4

6 Aces 4

2 Double Faults 4

58 Service Points 68

35 First Serve In 36

27 First Serve Won 23

15 Second Serve Won 18

2 Break Points Saved 3

2 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Michael Zheng vs Bu Yunchaokete — Prediction