ATP tennis predict — Michael Zheng vs Alan Magadan

Challenger Hard Bloomfield Hills challenger · R16

Predicted probability

Michael Zheng

USA

64.07%

Alan Magadan

Mexico

35.93%

Average Odds

1.05 / 8.72

Market probability

89.25% / 10.75%

Why This Prediction?

Michael Zheng is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1695 vs 1587), a stronger serve (62.7% vs 55.7% of service points won) and more wins on hard courts (40 vs 9).

Player Comparison

1695.4 Elo 1586.6

1574.6 Elo (surface) 1589.3

40 Wins (Challenger) 16

40 Wins (surface) 9

10 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.150 Dominance ratio 0.863

120 Rank 650

22.5 Age 25.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Michael Zheng

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 7W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–4L · 69.2%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Alan Magadan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-30.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Michael Zheng Alan Magadan

1st Serve In %

54.9%

52.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.0%

72.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.8%

49.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.1%

28.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.5%

52.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.33

0.46

Double Faults per Service Game

0.35

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.7%

59.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.3%

66.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.6%

49.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.3%

32.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.8%

47.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.59

0.52

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Michael Zheng Alan Magadan

Break Points Saved %

52.5%

36.1%

Break Points Converted %

35.1%

37.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

69.2%

63.5%

Break Points Converted %

43.6%

34.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Michael Zheng 0 – 0 Alan Magadan

Hard Bloomfield Hills challenger · 2026-07-22

R16

Michael Zheng #120

Alan Magadan #650

7-5 6-3

5 Aces 2

4 Double Faults 2

74 Service Points 74

36 First Serve In 41

27 First Serve Won 24

19 Second Serve Won 13

11 Break Points Saved 6

13 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.1 Average Odds 8.7

Michael Zheng vs Alan Magadan — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Michael Zheng — Last 10

Alan Magadan — Last 10