ATP tennis predict — Michael Zheng vs Adam Walton

Challenger Hard Bloomfield Hills challenger · QF

Predicted probability

Michael Zheng

USA

32.82%

Adam Walton

Australia

67.18%

Average Odds

1.78 / 1.95

Market probability

52.28% / 47.72%

Why This Prediction?

Adam Walton is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1804 vs 1598), a higher Elo rating (1805 vs 1710) and a stronger serve (67.2% vs 60.3% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1710.1 Elo 1805.0

1598.0 Elo (surface) 1803.9

41 Wins (Challenger) 115

41 Wins (surface) 111

10 Last 15 form 13

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.162 Dominance ratio 1.007

120 Rank 99

22.5 Age 27.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Michael Zheng

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 7W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–4L · 69.2%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Adam Walton

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 7W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–3L · 70.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–6L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

30 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Michael Zheng Adam Walton

1st Serve In %

54.9%

61.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.0%

71.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.8%

54.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.1%

30.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.5%

51.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.33

0.60

Double Faults per Service Game

0.35

0.15

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.7%

60.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.3%

65.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.6%

51.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.3%

25.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.8%

51.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.59

0.47

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Michael Zheng Adam Walton

Break Points Saved %

52.5%

62.7%

Break Points Converted %

35.1%

42.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

69.2%

53.4%

Break Points Converted %

43.6%

48.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Michael Zheng 0 – 0 Adam Walton

Hard Bloomfield Hills challenger · 2026-07-24

QF

Michael Zheng #120

Adam Walton #99

4-6 7-6 6-3

6 Aces 7

6 Double Faults 2

111 Service Points 107

57 First Serve In 65

44 First Serve Won 44

27 Second Serve Won 20

3 Break Points Saved 9

7 Break Points Faced 13

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.8 Average Odds 1.9

Michael Zheng vs Adam Walton — Prediction