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Michael Zheng vs Abedallah Shelbayh — Prediction

Challenger Hard Bloomfield Hills challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Michael Zheng

USA

61.22%

Abedallah Shelbayh

Jordan

38.78%

Average Odds

1.23  /  3.85

Market probability

75.79%  /  24.21%

Why This Prediction?

Michael Zheng is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1680 vs 1589), a stronger serve (63.7% vs 58.8% of service points won) and the advantage of playing in his home country.

Player Comparison

1679.5 Elo 1589.5
1551.8 Elo (surface) 1555.7
39 Wins (Challenger) 96
39 Wins (surface) 74
10 Last 15 form 6
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.180 Dominance ratio 0.917
120 Rank 261
22.5 Age 22.7
right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Michael Zheng

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 7W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–4L · 69.2%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Abedallah Shelbayh

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–3L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–7L · 36.4%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Michael Zheng Abedallah Shelbayh

1st Serve In %

54.9%
59.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.0%
71.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.8%
53.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.1%
26.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.5%
48.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.33
0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.35
0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.7%
59.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.3%
68.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.6%
42.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.3%
27.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.8%
46.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.59
0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33
0.34

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Michael Zheng Abedallah Shelbayh

Break Points Saved %

52.5%
69.3%

Break Points Converted %

35.1%
37.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

69.2%
50.0%

Break Points Converted %

43.6%
43.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Michael Zheng 00 Abedallah Shelbayh

Hard Bloomfield Hills challenger · 2026-07-20
6-4 6-1
11 Aces 1
2 Double Faults 4
46 Service Points 58
30 First Serve In 39
24 First Serve Won 24
9 Second Serve Won 4
3 Break Points Saved 3
4 Break Points Faced 8
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.2 Average Odds 3.9

Michael Zheng — Last 10

L W W W L W W L W W

Abedallah Shelbayh — Last 10

L L W W L W W L L L