ATP tennis predict — Michael Vrbensky vs Raul Brancaccio

Challenger Clay Maia challenger · 1. round 15:00

Predicted probability

Michael Vrbensky

Czech Republic

37.02%

Raul Brancaccio

Italy

62.98%

Average Odds

2.98 / 1.36

Market probability

31.34% / 68.66%

Why This Prediction?

Raul Brancaccio is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1610 vs 1459), a higher Elo rating (1614 vs 1469) and more wins on clay courts (4 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1468.9 Elo 1614.0

1459.1 Elo (surface) 1610.1

98 Wins (Challenger) 168

78 Wins (surface) 118

4 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.105 Dominance ratio 1.015

754 Rank 231

26.8 Age 29.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Michael Vrbensky

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Raul Brancaccio

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Michael Vrbensky Raul Brancaccio

1st Serve In %

57.0%

59.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

61.2%

71.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.5%

48.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.6%

32.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

61.0%

48.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.24

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.34

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.9%

57.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.4%

66.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.0%

52.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.8%

37.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.5%

55.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.41

0.24

Double Faults per Service Game

0.37

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Michael Vrbensky Raul Brancaccio

Break Points Saved %

51.9%

58.1%

Break Points Converted %

51.9%

35.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

67.8%

58.2%

Break Points Converted %

43.8%

31.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Michael Vrbensky and Raul Brancaccio have never played each other.

Michael Vrbensky vs Raul Brancaccio — Prediction