ATP tennis predict — Michael Vrbensky vs Olle Wallin

Challenger Clay Maia challenger · qualification - 1. round 15:00

Predicted probability

Michael Vrbensky

Czech Republic

24.25%

Olle Wallin

Sweden

75.75%

Average Odds

3.45 / 1.28

Market probability

27.06% / 72.94%

Why This Prediction?

Olle Wallin is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1678 vs 1423), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1689 vs 1407) and a stronger serve (61.9% vs 55.7% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1423.4 Elo 1677.6

1406.9 Elo (surface) 1688.8

96 Wins (Challenger) 34

76 Wins (surface) 28

3 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.105 Dominance ratio 1.055

754 Rank 423

26.8 Age None

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Michael Vrbensky

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Olle Wallin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 8W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–3L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–4L · 55.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

31 matches with market odds since 2026-06-15.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Michael Vrbensky Olle Wallin

1st Serve In %

57.0%

62.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

61.2%

68.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.5%

55.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.6%

26.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

61.0%

41.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.24

0.46

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.00

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.8%

59.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.6%

66.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.6%

47.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.0%

31.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.2%

50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.40

0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

0.37

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Michael Vrbensky Olle Wallin

Break Points Saved %

51.9%

38.5%

Break Points Converted %

51.9%

45.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.3%

56.4%

Break Points Converted %

45.3%

36.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Michael Vrbensky and Olle Wallin have never played each other.

Michael Vrbensky vs Olle Wallin — Prediction