ATP tennis predict — Michael Vrbensky vs Oleksii Krutykh

Challenger Clay Prague 2 challenger · qualification - 1. round 13:00

Predicted probability

Michael Vrbensky

Czech Republic

35.46%

Oleksii Krutykh

Ukraine

64.54%

Average Odds

3.29 / 1.30

Market probability

28.32% / 71.68%

Why This Prediction?

Oleksii Krutykh is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1565 vs 1426), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1537 vs 1433) and more wins on clay courts (4 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1425.8 Elo 1564.8

1433.4 Elo (surface) 1537.1

96 Wins (Challenger) 98

76 Wins (surface) 71

3 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.062 Dominance ratio 1.104

710 Rank 522

26.6 Age 26.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Michael Vrbensky

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Oleksii Krutykh

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-08-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Michael Vrbensky Oleksii Krutykh

1st Serve In %

57.0%

58.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

61.2%

67.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.5%

50.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.6%

25.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

61.0%

54.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.24

0.21

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.8%

57.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.6%

68.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.6%

50.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.0%

30.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.2%

47.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.40

0.30

Double Faults per Service Game

0.37

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Michael Vrbensky Oleksii Krutykh

Break Points Saved %

51.9%

56.1%

Break Points Converted %

51.9%

34.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.3%

63.4%

Break Points Converted %

45.3%

45.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Michael Vrbensky 0 – 0 Oleksii Krutykh

Clay Prague 2 challenger · 2026-08-16

qualification - 1. round

Oleksii Krutykh #526

Michael Vrbensky #716

2-6 6-2 6-4

6 Aces 1

5 Double Faults 3

87 Service Points 88

48 First Serve In 48

36 First Serve Won 33

15 Second Serve Won 21

5 Break Points Saved 7

9 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.3

Michael Vrbensky vs Oleksii Krutykh — Prediction