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Michael Vrbensky vs Maxime Janvier — Prediction

Challenger Clay San Marino challenger · qualification - round of 16

Predicted probability

Michael Vrbensky

Czech Republic

51.27%

Maxime Janvier

France

48.73%

Average Odds

2.11  /  1.67

Market probability

44.18%  /  55.82%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1416.0 Elo 1451.9
1423.3 Elo (surface) 1454.0
95 Wins (Challenger) 237
75 Wins (surface) 103
3 Last 15 form 7
1 Head-to-head wins 1
0.964 Dominance ratio 0.889
616 Rank 690
26.6 Age 29.8
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Michael Vrbensky

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Maxime Janvier

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–3L · 57.1%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Michael Vrbensky Maxime Janvier

1st Serve In %

57.0%
64.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

61.2%
72.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.5%
50.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.6%
25.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

61.0%
46.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.24
0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18
0.35

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.8%
62.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.6%
69.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.6%
46.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.0%
33.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.2%
42.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.40
0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.37
0.44

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Michael Vrbensky Maxime Janvier

Break Points Saved %

51.9%
58.3%

Break Points Converted %

51.9%
29.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.3%
64.8%

Break Points Converted %

45.3%
38.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Michael Vrbensky 1 – 1 Maxime Janvier

Clay San Marino challenger · 2026-07-27

qualification - round of 16

Michael Vrbensky #744

Maxime Janvier #565

6-3 5-7 6-3
2 Aces 2
1 Double Faults 7
80 Service Points 86
48 First Serve In 54
35 First Serve Won 41
23 Second Serve Won 17
1 Break Points Saved 4
2 Break Points Faced 7
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
2.1 Average Odds 1.7
Clay Brasov challenger · 2026-06-28

qualification - 1. round

Maxime Janvier #572

Michael Vrbensky #662

7-6 4-6 6-3
4 Aces 5
10 Double Faults 8
111 Service Points 100
59 First Serve In 58
37 First Serve Won 38
27 Second Serve Won 22
7 Break Points Saved 5
11 Break Points Faced 9
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.8 Average Odds 2.0
Clay Cordenons CH · 2025-08-04

Q1

Michael Vrbensky #541

Maxime Janvier #567

7-5 6-2
4 Aces 3
4 Double Faults 3
84 Service Points 59
45 First Serve In 33
30 First Serve Won 20
22 Second Serve Won 13
10 Break Points Saved 5
11 Break Points Faced 9
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Michael Vrbensky — Last 10

L L L W L L L L L W

Maxime Janvier — Last 10

L W L W W L W W L W