ATP tennis predict — Michael Mmoh vs Yu Hsiou Hsu

Challenger Hard Vancouver challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Michael Mmoh

USA

57.06%

Yu Hsiou Hsu

Chinese Taipei

42.94%

Average Odds

1.73 / 2.02

Market probability

53.87% / 46.13%

Why This Prediction?

Michael Mmoh is the favorite because he has a stronger return game (44.8% vs 38.3% of return points won), a higher Elo rating (1656 vs 1612) and a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1713 vs 1651).

Player Comparison

1656.1 Elo 1612.4

1712.9 Elo (surface) 1651.5

205 Wins (Challenger) 95

181 Wins (surface) 86

10 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.305 Dominance ratio 1.107

187 Rank 222

28.6 Age 27.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Michael Mmoh

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–3L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Yu Hsiou Hsu

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Michael Mmoh Yu Hsiou Hsu

1st Serve In %

65.5%

68.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.4%

69.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.0%

47.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.2%

27.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.1%

45.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.65

0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.41

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

54.9%

66.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.7%

71.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.4%

56.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

22.4%

30.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.8%

51.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.27

0.50

Double Faults per Service Game

0.48

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Michael Mmoh Yu Hsiou Hsu

Break Points Saved %

69.6%

53.2%

Break Points Converted %

34.3%

40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

49.3%

61.0%

Break Points Converted %

46.2%

43.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Michael Mmoh 0 – 0 Yu Hsiou Hsu

Hard Vancouver challenger · 2026-07-29

1. round

Michael Mmoh #187

Yu Hsiou Hsu #222

6-3 6-4

0 Aces 6

6 Double Faults 8

51 Service Points 54

30 First Serve In 26

15 First Serve Won 21

11 Second Serve Won 13

1 Break Points Saved 2

6 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.7 Average Odds 2.0

Michael Mmoh vs Yu Hsiou Hsu — Prediction