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Michael Mmoh vs Karue Sell — Prediction

Challenger Hard Tiburon challenger · 1. round 01:10

Predicted probability

Michael Mmoh

USA

85.46%

Karue Sell

Brazil

14.54%

Average Odds

1.17  /  4.64

Market probability

79.86%  /  20.14%

Why This Prediction?

Michael Mmoh is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1743 vs 1572), a higher Elo rating (1723 vs 1607) and more wins on hard courts (183 vs 29).

Player Comparison

1723.5 Elo 1607.2
1743.2 Elo (surface) 1571.6
207 Wins (Challenger) 48
183 Wins (surface) 29
9 Last 15 form 5
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.016 Dominance ratio 1.032
178 Rank 1755
28.7 Age 32.8
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Michael Mmoh

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–3L · 66.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–4L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Karue Sell

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-09-15.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Michael Mmoh Karue Sell

1st Serve In %

65.5%
57.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.4%
67.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.0%
48.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.2%
23.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.1%
47.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.65
0.20

Double Faults per Service Game

0.41
0.25

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

54.9%
61.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.7%
70.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.4%
51.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

22.4%
29.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.8%
54.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.27
0.51

Double Faults per Service Game

0.48
0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Michael Mmoh Karue Sell

Break Points Saved %

69.6%
54.9%

Break Points Converted %

34.3%
40.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

49.3%
64.0%

Break Points Converted %

46.2%
44.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Michael Mmoh 00 Karue Sell

Hard Tiburon challenger · 2026-09-15

1. round

Michael Mmoh #178

Karue Sell #1755

6-3 6-2
1 Aces 3
4 Double Faults 4
- Service Points -
- First Serve In -
11 First Serve Won 29
16 Second Serve Won 4
6 Break Points Saved 4
12 Break Points Faced 6
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.2 Average Odds 4.6

Michael Mmoh — Last 10

L W W W W L L L W W

Karue Sell — Last 10

L L L W L L L L W L