ATP tennis predict — Michael Geerts vs Radu Albot

Challenger Hard Roehampton challenger · R16 13:30

Predicted probability

Michael Geerts

Belgium

37.71%

Radu Albot

Moldavsko

62.29%

Average Odds

1.69 / 2.01

Market probability

54.32% / 45.68%

Why This Prediction?

Radu Albot is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1625 vs 1573), a higher Elo rating (1569 vs 1509) and a stronger serve (67.1% vs 60.5% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1509.1 Elo 1569.3

1572.7 Elo (surface) 1625.2

151 Wins (Challenger) 257

99 Wins (surface) 147

6 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.892 Dominance ratio 1.312

348 Rank 512

31.6 Age 36.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Michael Geerts

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-07-13.

Radu Albot

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–2L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Michael Geerts Radu Albot

1st Serve In %

54.3%

63.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.6%

64.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.8%

43.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.2%

34.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

49.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.31

0.15

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.5%

66.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.0%

68.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.1%

52.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.8%

37.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.5%

56.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.47

0.20

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Michael Geerts Radu Albot

Break Points Saved %

61.9%

46.8%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%

32.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.3%

54.7%

Break Points Converted %

41.9%

46.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Michael Geerts 0 – 0 Radu Albot

Hard Roehampton challenger · 2026-08-19

R16

Michael Geerts #348

Radu Albot #512

4-6 6-4 6-4

12 Aces 3

2 Double Faults 6

95 Service Points 89

50 First Serve In 51

36 First Serve Won 37

25 Second Serve Won 20

4 Break Points Saved 1

6 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.7 Average Odds 2.0

Michael Geerts vs Radu Albot — Prediction