ATP tennis predict — Michael Geerts vs Billy Blaydes

Challenger Hard Roehampton challenger · 1. round 13:30

Predicted probability

Michael Geerts

Belgium

69.62%

Billy Blaydes

Great Britain

30.38%

Average Odds

1.67 / 2.12

Market probability

55.94% / 44.06%

Why This Prediction?

Michael Geerts is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1560 vs 1500), more career match wins (150 vs 2) and more wins on hard courts (98 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1493.8 Elo 1581.3

1560.3 Elo (surface) 1500

150 Wins (Challenger) 2

98 Wins (surface) 0

6 Last 15 form 2

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.844 Dominance ratio 0.796

348 Rank 1183

31.6 Age None

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Michael Geerts

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-07-13.

Billy Blaydes

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-08-16.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Michael Geerts Billy Blaydes

1st Serve In %

54.3%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

69.6%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.8%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.2%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.31

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.5%

67.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.0%

65.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.1%

48.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.8%

30.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.5%

53.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.47

0.60

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.10

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Michael Geerts Billy Blaydes

Break Points Saved %

61.9%

—

Break Points Converted %

33.3%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.3%

50.0%

Break Points Converted %

41.9%

42.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Michael Geerts 0 – 0 Billy Blaydes

Hard Roehampton challenger · 2026-08-18

1. round

Michael Geerts #348

Billy Blaydes #1183

6-3 7-6

7 Aces 12

0 Double Faults 2

66 Service Points 85

43 First Serve In 60

31 First Serve Won 39

13 Second Serve Won 10

2 Break Points Saved 4

3 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.7 Average Odds 2.1

Michael Geerts vs Billy Blaydes — Prediction