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Michael Antonius vs Henry Searle — Prediction

Grand Slam Hard US Open · qualification - 1. round 17:00

Predicted probability

Henry Searle

Great Britain

83.32%

Average Odds

3.39  /  1.30

Market probability

27.72%  /  72.28%

Why This Prediction?

Henry Searle is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1701 vs 1460), better recent form (12 wins in his last 15 matches vs 0) and a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1555 vs 1500).

Player Comparison

1460.5 Elo 1701.5
1500 Elo (surface) 1555.2
0 Wins 3
0 Wins (surface) 0
0 Last 15 form 3
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.747 Dominance ratio 0.747
670 Rank 226
None Age 20.4
right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Michael Antonius

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

2 matches with market odds since 2026-08-25.

Henry Searle

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–2L · 66.7%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–4L · 66.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Michael Antonius Henry Searle

1st Serve In %

64.9%
61.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.6%
71.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.2%
51.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.3%
21.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.8%
45.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.06
0.65

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17
0.16

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.7%
61.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.1%
70.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.0%
54.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.6%
25.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.5%
44.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.12
0.37

Double Faults per Service Game

0.12
0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Michael Antonius Henry Searle

Break Points Saved %

66.7%
56.5%

Break Points Converted %

60.0%
28.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

75.0%
54.2%

Break Points Converted %

37.5%
38.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Michael Antonius 00 Henry Searle

Hard US Open · 2026-08-25

qualification - 1. round

Michael Antonius #670

Henry Searle #226

6-1 6-2
1 Aces 2
0 Double Faults 1
51 Service Points 51
34 First Serve In 30
28 First Serve Won 16
10 Second Serve Won 8
4 Break Points Saved 3
4 Break Points Faced 7
15 Winners 13
9 Unforced Errors 25
3.4 Average Odds 1.3

Michael Antonius — Last 3

L W L

Henry Searle — Last 10

W W L L L L W W W W