ATP tennis predict — Mert Naci Turker vs Faris Zakaryia

Challenger Hard Istanbul challenger · qualification - 1. round 13:35

Predicted probability

Mert Naci Turker

Turkey

50.92%

Faris Zakaryia

Egypt

49.08%

Average Odds

2.42 / 1.50

Market probability

38.27% / 61.73%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1428.5 Elo 1344.5

1430.3 Elo (surface) 1403.3

4 Wins (Challenger) 2

4 Wins (surface) 2

4 Last 15 form 2

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.869 Dominance ratio 0.781

775 Rank 559

28.1 Age 25.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Mert Naci Turker

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

5 matches with market odds since 2026-07-26.

Faris Zakaryia

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

7 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mert Naci Turker Faris Zakaryia

1st Serve In %

60.9%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

58.6%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.7%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

52.2%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.3%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.61

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.5%

57.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.1%

61.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.9%

44.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.2%

25.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.9%

54.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.34

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.48

0.40

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mert Naci Turker Faris Zakaryia

Break Points Saved %

55.6%

—

Break Points Converted %

60.0%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.5%

50.0%

Break Points Converted %

36.4%

33.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Mert Naci Turker 0 – 0 Faris Zakaryia

Hard Istanbul challenger · 2026-09-06

qualification - 1. round

Faris Zakaryia #559

Mert Naci Turker #775

6-4 6-2

- Aces -

- Double Faults -

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

- First Serve Won -

- Second Serve Won -

- Break Points Saved -

- Break Points Faced -

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.4

Mert Naci Turker vs Faris Zakaryia — Prediction