ATP tennis predict — Mees Rottgering vs Tomas Machac

ATP Hard Winston Salem · 2. round 23:00

Predicted probability

Mees Rottgering

Netherlands

46.18%

Tomas Machac

Czech Republic

53.82%

Average Odds

2.73 / 1.43

Market probability

34.37% / 65.62%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1691.6 Elo 1731.6

1684.8 Elo (surface) 1751.0

6 Wins 126

5 Wins (surface) 91

6 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.830 Dominance ratio 1.182

389 Rank 58

19.1 Age 25.9

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Mees Rottgering

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-08.

Tomas Machac

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

5 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mees Rottgering Tomas Machac

1st Serve In %

56.7%

63.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.5%

72.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.5%

50.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.2%

32.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.9%

48.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.37

0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.36

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.9%

63.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.1%

74.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

39.8%

65.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.7%

31.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.0%

56.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.30

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.37

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mees Rottgering Tomas Machac

Break Points Saved %

62.2%

58.0%

Break Points Converted %

31.6%

37.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

48.5%

73.0%

Break Points Converted %

32.4%

47.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Mees Rottgering 0 – 0 Tomas Machac

Hard Winston Salem · 2026-08-26

2. round

Mees Rottgering #389

Tomas Machac #58

6-2 7-6

8 Aces 5

1 Double Faults 7

70 Service Points 85

44 First Serve In 48

36 First Serve Won 33

12 Second Serve Won 12

6 Break Points Saved 8

7 Break Points Faced 11

25 Winners 23

23 Unforced Errors 44

2.7 Average Odds 1.4

Mees Rottgering vs Tomas Machac — Prediction