ATP tennis predict — Mees Rottgering vs Andres Andrade

Challenger Hard Columbus 3 challenger · QF 17:00

Predicted probability

Mees Rottgering

Netherlands

65.01%

Andres Andrade

Ecuador

34.99%

Average Odds

1.55 / 2.26

Market probability

59.32% / 40.68%

Why This Prediction?

Mees Rottgering is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1783 vs 1774), more aces per game (0.17 vs 0.14) and a lighter recent match load (38 vs 40 games played recently).

Player Comparison

1782.6 Elo 1773.8

1750.1 Elo (surface) 1756.9

13 Wins (Challenger) 79

10 Wins (surface) 44

9 Last 15 form 11

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.834 Dominance ratio 0.791

335 Rank 206

19.2 Age 27.8

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Mees Rottgering

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–1L · 85.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-06-08.

Andres Andrade

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 6W–3L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-06-03.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mees Rottgering Andres Andrade

1st Serve In %

56.7%

62.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.5%

70.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.5%

50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.2%

32.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.9%

54.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.37

0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.36

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.3%

58.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.3%

61.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

38.0%

46.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

22.7%

25.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.7%

51.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.32

0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.42

0.35

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mees Rottgering Andres Andrade

Break Points Saved %

62.2%

80.0%

Break Points Converted %

31.6%

55.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

52.4%

Break Points Converted %

45.8%

31.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Mees Rottgering and Andres Andrade have never played each other.

Mees Rottgering vs Andres Andrade — Prediction