ATP tennis predict — Maxwell Mckennon vs Aziz Ouakaa

Challenger Hard Segovia challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Maxwell Mckennon

USA

55.84%

Aziz Ouakaa

Tunisia

44.16%

Average Odds

1.50 / 2.41

Market probability

61.64% / 38.36%

Why This Prediction?

Maxwell Mckennon is the favorite because he has a stronger return game (38.4% vs 36.1% of return points won), the advantage of playing in his home country and a stronger serve (61.3% vs 53.4% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1476.4 Elo 1485.1

1515.8 Elo (surface) 1504.6

18 Wins (Challenger) 15

12 Wins (surface) 13

6 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.991 Dominance ratio 0.776

553 Rank 525

24.2 Age 27.0

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Maxwell Mckennon

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-07-19.

Aziz Ouakaa

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Maxwell Mckennon Aziz Ouakaa

1st Serve In %

—

54.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

67.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

52.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

29.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

52.6%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.18

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

55.1%

60.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.6%

65.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.8%

39.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.8%

29.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.8%

50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.37

0.16

Double Faults per Service Game

0.42

0.35

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Maxwell Mckennon Aziz Ouakaa

Break Points Saved %

—

42.9%

Break Points Converted %

—

45.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.8%

50.7%

Break Points Converted %

46.4%

46.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Maxwell Mckennon 0 – 0 Aziz Ouakaa

Hard Segovia challenger · 2026-07-19

qualification - 1. round

Aziz Ouakaa #490

Maxwell Mckennon #555

6-2 6-2

1 Aces 8

5 Double Faults 1

67 Service Points 45

40 First Serve In 35

22 First Serve Won 29

12 Second Serve Won 6

5 Break Points Saved 3

9 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.4 Average Odds 1.5

Maxwell Mckennon vs Aziz Ouakaa — Prediction