ATP tennis predict — Maximus Jones vs Sebastian Gima

Challenger Clay Catania challenger · qualification - 1. round 10:00

Predicted probability

Maximus Jones

Thailand

52.12%

Sebastian Gima

Romania

47.88%

Average Odds

2.51 / 1.48

Market probability

37.09% / 62.91%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1520.4 Elo 1490.2

1504.9 Elo (surface) 1531.4

48 Wins (Challenger) 37

11 Wins (surface) 34

7 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.030 Dominance ratio 0.806

496 Rank 589

22.1 Age 24.4

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Maximus Jones

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-07-14.

Sebastian Gima

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-06-21.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Maximus Jones Sebastian Gima

1st Serve In %

46.5%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

66.7%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

31.6%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.1%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.7%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.38

—

Double Faults per Service Game

1.75

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.0%

61.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.8%

56.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.9%

40.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.8%

33.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.2%

45.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.46

0.14

Double Faults per Service Game

0.39

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Maximus Jones Sebastian Gima

Break Points Saved %

58.3%

—

Break Points Converted %

100.0%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

51.7%

44.0%

Break Points Converted %

45.8%

41.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Maximus Jones and Sebastian Gima have never played each other.

Maximus Jones vs Sebastian Gima — Prediction