ATP tennis predict — Maximus Jones vs Oskari Paldanius

Challenger Hard Mallorca challenger · qualification - round of 16 11:30

Predicted probability

Maximus Jones

Thailand

59.97%

Oskari Paldanius

Finland

40.03%

Average Odds

2.30 / 1.56

Market probability

40.41% / 59.59%

Why This Prediction?

Maximus Jones is the favorite because he has more career match wins (46 vs 3), more wins on hard courts (35 vs 3) and a stronger serve (63.7% vs 61.3% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1482.7 Elo 1502.7

1506.1 Elo (surface) 1522.2

46 Wins (Challenger) 3

35 Wins (surface) 3

6 Last 15 form 3

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.059 Dominance ratio 1.053

489 Rank 824

22.0 Age None

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Maximus Jones

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-07-14.

Oskari Paldanius

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-06-28.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Maximus Jones Oskari Paldanius

1st Serve In %

46.5%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

66.7%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

31.6%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.1%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.7%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.38

—

Double Faults per Service Game

1.75

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.0%

67.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.8%

62.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.9%

54.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.8%

35.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.2%

56.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.46

0.21

Double Faults per Service Game

0.39

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Maximus Jones Oskari Paldanius

Break Points Saved %

58.3%

—

Break Points Converted %

100.0%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

51.7%

55.7%

Break Points Converted %

45.8%

54.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Maximus Jones 0 – 0 Oskari Paldanius

Hard Mallorca challenger · 2026-09-01

qualification - round of 16

Maximus Jones #489

Oskari Paldanius #824

6-3 6-4

3 Aces 8

3 Double Faults 3

61 Service Points 53

40 First Serve In 34

29 First Serve Won 24

12 Second Serve Won 6

2 Break Points Saved 1

3 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.3 Average Odds 1.6

Maximus Jones vs Oskari Paldanius — Prediction