ATP tennis predict — Maximus Jones vs Florent Bax

Challenger Hard Phan Thiet 3 challenger · 1. round 05:10

Predicted probability

Maximus Jones

Thailand

51.94%

Florent Bax

France

48.06%

Average Odds

1.82 / 1.90

Market probability

51.08% / 48.92%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1481.2 Elo 1502.4

1500.2 Elo (surface) 1533.4

47 Wins (Challenger) 39

36 Wins (surface) 25

7 Last 15 form 9

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.009 Dominance ratio 0.877

489 Rank 303

22.0 Age 27.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Maximus Jones

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-07-14.

Florent Bax

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-06-10.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Maximus Jones Florent Bax

1st Serve In %

46.5%

74.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.7%

85.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

31.6%

57.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.1%

35.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.7%

41.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.38

1.00

Double Faults per Service Game

1.75

0.36

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.0%

59.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.8%

69.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.9%

48.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.8%

23.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.2%

52.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.46

0.26

Double Faults per Service Game

0.39

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Maximus Jones Florent Bax

Break Points Saved %

58.3%

100.0%

Break Points Converted %

100.0%

40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

51.7%

51.9%

Break Points Converted %

45.8%

27.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Maximus Jones 1 – 0 Florent Bax

Hard Phan Thiet 3 challenger · 2026-09-08

1. round

Maximus Jones #489

Florent Bax #303

6-0 3-6 7-6

7 Aces 2

2 Double Faults 2

82 Service Points 85

52 First Serve In 52

38 First Serve Won 41

16 Second Serve Won 19

2 Break Points Saved 3

5 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.8 Average Odds 1.9

Hard Abidjan 1 CH · 2025-04-14

SF

Maximus Jones #618

Florent Bax #460

6-7(5) 6-4 6-4

6 Aces 8

2 Double Faults 4

110 Service Points 111

71 First Serve In 66

54 First Serve Won 49

17 Second Serve Won 19

10 Break Points Saved 5

13 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Maximus Jones vs Florent Bax — Prediction