ATP tennis predict — Maxime St Hilaire vs Taro Daniel

Challenger Hard Quebec City challenger · qualification - round of 16 18:30

Predicted probability

Maxime St Hilaire

Canada

9.14%

Taro Daniel

Japan

90.86%

Average Odds

10.54 / 1.03

Market probability

8.90% / 91.10%

Why This Prediction?

Taro Daniel is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1762 vs 1500), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1679 vs 1500) and more wins on hard courts (129 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1500 Elo 1762.3

1500 Elo (surface) 1678.6

0 Wins (Challenger) 240

0 Wins (surface) 116

0 Last 15 form 13

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.940 Dominance ratio 0.940

1824 Rank 186

None Age 33.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Maxime St Hilaire

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-08-17.

Taro Daniel

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–2L · 81.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

30 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Maxime St Hilaire Taro Daniel

1st Serve In %

—

64.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

62.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

45.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

28.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

48.9%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

53.3%

62.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

78.1%

63.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%

48.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.6%

29.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

70.0%

45.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.10

0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Maxime St Hilaire Taro Daniel

Break Points Saved %

—

51.6%

Break Points Converted %

—

33.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

66.7%

59.0%

Break Points Converted %

71.4%

54.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Maxime St Hilaire 0 – 0 Taro Daniel

Hard Quebec City challenger · 2026-08-17

qualification - round of 16

Taro Daniel #186

Maxime St Hilaire #1824

7-5 6-3

5 Aces 1

5 Double Faults 3

68 Service Points 60

38 First Serve In 32

26 First Serve Won 25

9 Second Serve Won 14

2 Break Points Saved 4

7 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.0 Average Odds 10.5

Maxime St Hilaire vs Taro Daniel — Prediction