ATP tennis predict — Maxime Janvier vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand

Challenger Hard Cassis challenger · 1. round 13:00

Predicted probability

Maxime Janvier

France

52.93%

Yanis Ghazouani Durand

France

47.07%

Average Odds

1.97 / 1.75

Market probability

47.04% / 52.96%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1465.8 Elo 1473.6

1556.3 Elo (surface) 1571.3

240 Wins (Challenger) 6

136 Wins (surface) 5

6 Last 15 form 6

1 Head-to-head wins 0

0.889 Dominance ratio 1.096

572 Rank 595

29.9 Age 26.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Maxime Janvier

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Yanis Ghazouani Durand

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Maxime Janvier Yanis Ghazouani Durand

1st Serve In %

64.0%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

72.2%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.2%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.2%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.8%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.48

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.35

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.8%

59.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.7%

70.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.5%

61.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.5%

28.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.9%

61.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.34

Double Faults per Service Game

0.44

0.38

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Maxime Janvier Yanis Ghazouani Durand

Break Points Saved %

58.3%

—

Break Points Converted %

29.4%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.8%

54.3%

Break Points Converted %

38.6%

44.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Maxime Janvier 1 – 0 Yanis Ghazouani Durand

Hard Cassis challenger · 2026-09-08

1. round

Yanis Ghazouani Durand #595

Maxime Janvier #572

2-6 6-3 7-5

10 Aces 5

7 Double Faults 9

83 Service Points 90

50 First Serve In 51

35 First Serve Won 41

19 Second Serve Won 16

6 Break Points Saved 2

9 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.8 Average Odds 2.0

Hard Cherbourg CH · 2026-03-09

Q2

Maxime Janvier #545

Yanis Ghazouani Durand #698

6-4 6-3

5 Aces 1

0 Double Faults 3

51 Service Points 77

30 First Serve In 48

22 First Serve Won 28

12 Second Serve Won 14

0 Break Points Saved 5

1 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Maxime Janvier vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand — Prediction