ATP tennis predict — Maxime Janvier vs Thomas Fancutt

Challenger Hard Cassis challenger · qualification - 1. round 10:00

Predicted probability

Maxime Janvier

France

62.48%

Thomas Fancutt

Australia

37.52%

Average Odds

1.88 / 1.84

Market probability

49.46% / 50.54%

Why This Prediction?

Maxime Janvier is the favorite because he has more wins on hard courts (11 vs 0), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1535 vs 1478) and better recent form (4 wins in his last 15 matches vs 0).

Player Comparison

1444.6 Elo 1479.1

1535.4 Elo (surface) 1478.1

238 Wins (Challenger) 44

134 Wins (surface) 38

5 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.778 Dominance ratio 0.840

572 Rank 712

29.9 Age 31.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Maxime Janvier

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Thomas Fancutt

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-06-15.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Maxime Janvier Thomas Fancutt

1st Serve In %

64.0%

54.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.2%

65.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.2%

51.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.2%

17.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.8%

43.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.52

Double Faults per Service Game

0.35

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.8%

66.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.7%

67.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.5%

47.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.5%

17.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.9%

42.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.44

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Maxime Janvier Thomas Fancutt

Break Points Saved %

58.3%

59.1%

Break Points Converted %

29.4%

40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.8%

61.2%

Break Points Converted %

38.6%

21.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Maxime Janvier 0 – 0 Thomas Fancutt

Hard Cassis challenger · 2026-09-06

qualification - 1. round

Maxime Janvier #572

Thomas Fancutt #712

5-1

3 Aces 3

0 Double Faults 1

18 Service Points 21

13 First Serve In 12

10 First Serve Won 6

4 Second Serve Won 4

1 Break Points Saved 1

1 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.9 Average Odds 1.8

Maxime Janvier vs Thomas Fancutt — Prediction