ATP tennis predict — Maxime Janvier vs Oskari Paldanius

Challenger Hard Cassis challenger · qualification - round of 16 10:00

Predicted probability

Maxime Janvier

France

53.63%

Oskari Paldanius

Finland

46.37%

Average Odds

2.25 / 1.59

Market probability

41.41% / 58.59%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1455.2 Elo 1488.9

1545.6 Elo (surface) 1503.2

239 Wins (Challenger) 4

135 Wins (surface) 4

6 Last 15 form 4

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.845 Dominance ratio 1.096

572 Rank 824

29.9 Age None

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Maxime Janvier

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Oskari Paldanius

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-06-28.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Maxime Janvier Oskari Paldanius

1st Serve In %

64.0%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

72.2%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.2%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.2%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.8%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.48

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.35

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.8%

67.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.7%

62.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.5%

54.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.5%

35.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.9%

56.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.21

Double Faults per Service Game

0.44

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Maxime Janvier Oskari Paldanius

Break Points Saved %

58.3%

—

Break Points Converted %

29.4%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.8%

55.7%

Break Points Converted %

38.6%

54.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Maxime Janvier 0 – 0 Oskari Paldanius

Hard Cassis challenger · 2026-09-07

qualification - round of 16

Maxime Janvier #572

Oskari Paldanius #824

6-1 3-6 7-5

4 Aces 1

4 Double Faults 2

97 Service Points 92

62 First Serve In 62

46 First Serve Won 34

16 Second Serve Won 19

4 Break Points Saved 4

6 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.2 Average Odds 1.6

Maxime Janvier vs Oskari Paldanius — Prediction