ATP tennis predict — Maxime Janvier vs Lorenzo Angelini

Challenger Clay San Marino challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Maxime Janvier

France

47.19%

Lorenzo Angelini

Italy

52.81%

Average Odds

2.15 / 1.64

Market probability

43.27% / 56.73%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1441.7 Elo 1457.2

1438.5 Elo (surface) 1490.3

236 Wins (Challenger) 4

102 Wins (surface) 4

6 Last 15 form 4

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.867 Dominance ratio 0.873

581 Rank 575

29.8 Age 20.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Maxime Janvier

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Lorenzo Angelini

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Maxime Janvier Lorenzo Angelini

1st Serve In %

64.0%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

72.2%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.2%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.2%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.8%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.48

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.35

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.8%

61.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.7%

59.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.5%

43.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.5%

37.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.9%

52.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.13

Double Faults per Service Game

0.44

0.38

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Maxime Janvier Lorenzo Angelini

Break Points Saved %

58.3%

—

Break Points Converted %

29.4%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.8%

53.3%

Break Points Converted %

38.6%

42.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Maxime Janvier 0 – 0 Lorenzo Angelini

Clay San Marino challenger · 2026-07-26

qualification - 1. round

Maxime Janvier #690

Lorenzo Angelini #508

4-6 6-4 6-2

3 Aces 0

6 Double Faults 6

87 Service Points 90

50 First Serve In 51

36 First Serve Won 33

19 Second Serve Won 17

5 Break Points Saved 7

8 Break Points Faced 12

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.1 Average Odds 1.6

Maxime Janvier vs Lorenzo Angelini — Prediction